Physio-Chemical Parameters as Predictors to HABs Occurrence and Severity BORDIOS_5

2025 Environment & Disaster Resilience COED Applied Research

Author(s):

Bordios Balindo
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Published Feb 24, 2026

Abstract

This study analyzed 108 months of hydro-climatic data from Irong-Irong Bay and Maqueda Bay (2016–2024) to determine key environmental predictors of harmful algal blooms (HABs). Using correlation analysis, SARIMAX modeling, and time-series forecasting, the research identified rainfall, humidity, temperature, and atmospheric pressure as significant drivers of bloom occurrence and severity. Results revealed a dominant 12-month seasonal cycle and projected increased HAB risks for 2025–2026. The study highlights the value of data-driven early warning systems and climate-informed coastal management. Findings support …

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Keywords

Harmful Algal Blooms SARIMAX Time-Series Analysis Storm Predictive Modeling

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Cite This Research

Bordios, Balindo (2025). Physio-Chemical Parameters as Predictors to HABs Occurrence and Severity BORDIOS_5. College of Education, Samar State University. Retrieved from https://gov-aideas.ssu.edu.ph/research/physio-chemical-parameters-as-predictors-to-habs-occurrence-and-severity-bordios_5